Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 67.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
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