SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Manchester City |
11.82% ( -0.3) | 14.84% ( -0.3) | 73.34% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 62.19% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.72% ( 0.7) | 25.28% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.9) | 45.28% ( -0.9) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( 0.07) | 33.86% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( 0.07) | 70.53% ( -0.07) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.03% ( 0.26) | 5.97% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.21% ( 0.73) | 22.79% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.2% Total : 11.82% | 1-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 14.84% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 8.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 5.76% ( 0.1)0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 5.32% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 3.25% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 3% ( 0.09)2-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)1-6 @ 1.53% ( 0.07)0-6 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.55% Total : 73.34% |
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