Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Manchester City |
16.5% | 20.64% | 62.85% |
Both teams to score 52.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.02% | 42.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.62% | 65.38% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.76% | 39.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.05% | 75.95% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.93% | 13.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.34% | 39.65% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Manchester City |
1-0 @ 4.8% 2-1 @ 4.57% 2-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.5% | 1-1 @ 9.76% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.64% | 0-2 @ 10.61% 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.2% 1-3 @ 6.74% 0-4 @ 3.67% 1-4 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 3.15% 2-4 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.49% 1-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.84% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: