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FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
MC

Southampton
1 - 4
Man City

Laporte (45+2' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sterling (12'), De Bruyne (62' pen.), Foden (75'), Mahrez (78')
Steffen (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield

We said: Southampton 1-2 Manchester City

Southampton are more than capable of upsetting Man City to reach the semi-finals, but it is always difficult to back against the Citizens due to the strength of their squad. Guardiola can make changes and still send a brilliant side onto the field, and we are expecting the visitors to secure the victory within 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawManchester City
16.5%20.64%62.85%
Both teams to score 52.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.76%39.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05%75.95%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93%13.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34%39.65%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 16.5%
    Manchester City 62.84%
    Draw 20.64%
SouthamptonDrawManchester City
1-0 @ 4.8%
2-1 @ 4.57%
2-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.45%
3-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.5%
1-1 @ 9.76%
0-0 @ 5.13%
2-2 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.64%
0-2 @ 10.61%
0-1 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 6.74%
0-4 @ 3.67%
1-4 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 3.15%
2-4 @ 1.6%
0-5 @ 1.49%
1-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 62.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Watford
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Newcastle
Thursday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Southampton
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 West Ham
Wednesday, March 2 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Norwich
Friday, February 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Everton
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Man City
Monday, March 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, March 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 4-1 Man Utd
Sunday, March 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Man City
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-1 Man City
Saturday, February 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-3 Spurs
Saturday, February 19 at 5.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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