Both sides are in desperate need of the three points at a vital stage of the season, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. There has not actually been a draw between these two sides since December 2013, but we are predicting a stalemate at Vicarage Road on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Leeds United
35.41%	25.71%	38.87%

Both teams to score 55.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.08%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02%

61.98%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22%

24.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64%

59.35%

Score Analysis

Watford 35.41%

Leeds United 38.87%

Draw 25.71%

Watford	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.41%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.87%