Many wondered where the goals would come from under Hodgson at Watford, but Hernandez has provided an answer, and Wolves are not the same defensive force they were a couple of months back.
The Hornets' resilience on the road also makes this an enticing affair, but a fired-up Lage will be demanding an immediate response from his players and has plenty of options for change, so we can see the hosts ending their losing streak by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.79%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
