SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for AVS had a probability of 8.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Benfica |
8.81% ( -0.09) | 15.27% ( -0.22) | 75.93% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.45% ( 0.75) | 37.55% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.22% ( 0.8) | 59.78% ( -0.79) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.72% ( 0.31) | 48.28% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.57% ( 0.23) | 83.44% ( -0.22) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.74% ( 0.25) | 8.27% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.13% ( 0.61) | 28.88% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 8.81% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 15.27% | 0-2 @ 12.4% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 10.3% 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.24)1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 6.42% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 75.92% |
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