SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
64.94% ( -0.19) | 19.34% ( 0.07) | 15.72% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.55% ( -0.09) | 38.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.26% ( -0.09) | 60.75% ( 0.09) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.07) | 11.13% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.43% ( -0.16) | 35.57% ( 0.17) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( 0.1) | 37.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( 0.1) | 74.23% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Braga |
| 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.31% Total : 64.94% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.72% |
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