SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
27.5% ( -0.11) | 26.66% ( 0.1) | 45.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( -0.44) | 55.47% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( -0.36) | 76.65% ( 0.36) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( -0.32) | 35.46% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( -0.34) | 72.23% ( 0.34) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( -0.19) | 24.14% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.55% ( -0.27) | 58.45% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.84% |
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