SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
12.46% ( 0.3) | 17.34% ( 0.11) | 70.19% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.54% ( 0.28) | 36.46% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.31) | 58.6% ( -0.3) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( 0.66) | 40.73% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( 0.59) | 77.31% ( -0.58) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( -0.02) | 9.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.63% ( -0.05) | 31.37% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.54% Total : 12.46% | 1-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.34% | 0-2 @ 10.68% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 8.46% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 5.03% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 4.51% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)0-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 70.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
