SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 25.51% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Benfica win is 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.76%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
52.57% ( 3.03) | 21.93% ( -0.05) | 25.51% ( -2.98) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -2.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -2.27) | 36.54% ( 2.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( -2.52) | 58.68% ( 2.53) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( 0.18) | 14.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.31% ( 0.35) | 41.69% ( -0.34) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -3.21) | 26.97% ( 3.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -4.41) | 62.31% ( 4.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.85)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.87)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.6)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.64% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.37)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.93% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.42) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.26)Other @ 3% Total : 25.51% |
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