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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
E

Benfica
3 - 0
Estoril

Pavlidis (28'), Amdouni (73', 90+4')
Kokcu (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boma (34')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Estoril Praia

Benfica have beaten Estoril in the previous eight corresponding Liga fixtures at Estadio da Luz, and that pattern should continue in gameweek 15. Although the Canaries have netted in four of their previous five visits, the Reds' superior technical quality should see the hosts continue this term's unblemished run at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 3.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 4-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
87.07% (0.483 0.48) 9.09% (-0.1 -0.1) 3.83% (-0.3821 -0.38)
Both teams to score 41.56% (-3.419 -3.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.96% (-2.025 -2.02)28.05% (2.026 2.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.2% (-2.561 -2.56)48.8% (2.562 2.56)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.76% (-0.254 -0.25)4.24% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.36% (-0.81400000000001 -0.81)17.64% (0.816 0.82)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.4% (-3.446 -3.45)56.6% (3.447 3.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.19% (-2.068 -2.07)88.82% (2.069 2.07)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 87.06%
    Estoril Praia 3.83%
    Draw 9.09%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
3-0 @ 12.62% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.99 0.99)
4-0 @ 9.98% (0.459 0.46)
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.76 0.76)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.279 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
5-0 @ 6.31% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 5.68% (-0.337 -0.34)
5-1 @ 3.59% (-0.287 -0.29)
6-0 @ 3.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.315 -0.32)
6-1 @ 1.89% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.285 -0.29)
7-0 @ 1.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 87.06%
1-1 @ 4.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 1.94% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 9.09%
0-1 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 1.23% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 3.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 1-1 Benfica
Sunday, December 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 0-0 Bologna
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 Benfica
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-2 Estoril
Friday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, December 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 AVS
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Estoril
Sunday, November 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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