SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.81% ( -1.07) | 26.79% ( -0.23) | 38.4% ( 1.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.83) | 53.61% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% ( 0.7) | 75.11% ( -0.69) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.26) | 29.31% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( -0.32) | 65.28% ( 0.32) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 1.15) | 27.17% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( 1.47) | 62.57% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.4% |
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