Santa Clara and Maritimo have staggered into the new season and will head into the weekend desperate to pick up their first league victory. However, we predict that both evenly-matched sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
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