SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
30.73% ( 1.11) | 27.09% ( 0.82) | 42.17% ( -1.94) |
| Both teams to score 49.44% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( -2.77) | 55.69% ( 2.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( -2.31) | 76.84% ( 2.31) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% ( -0.63) | 33.11% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.29% ( -0.7) | 69.7% ( 0.7) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( -2.22) | 26.08% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( -3.08) | 61.14% ( 3.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.88)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.17% |
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