SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
52.99% ( -0.2) | 25.65% ( 0.23) | 21.36% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.91% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.56% ( -0.86) | 56.44% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.55% ( -0.7) | 77.44% ( 0.69) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -0.43) | 21.35% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( -0.67) | 54.32% ( 0.67) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( -0.52) | 41.63% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.89% ( -0.46) | 78.11% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.36% |
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