With Santa Clara and Vizela on a four-game winless run respectively, we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting win. With each of their three encounters ending in draws, we predict another share of the spoils with both sides settling for a point apiece.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.