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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
SL

Maritimo
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Winck (55' pen.)
Brito (60'), Vidigal (85'), Mosquera (87'), Carne (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Edwards (11'), Esgaio (72'), Porro (81'), Paulinho (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Maritimo
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

The away side come into this clash in great form, while Maritimo's home record this season leaves a lot to be desired. We think the hosts will struggle to contain Sporting Lisbon here, and the Leoes will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MaritimoDrawSporting Lisbon
14.3% (0.068000000000001 0.07) 20.11% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 65.58% (-0.10499999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 49.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)44.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.61% (0.093999999999994 0.09)43.39% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.38% (0.078000000000003 0.08)79.62% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)12.88% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.72% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)39.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 14.3%
    Sporting Lisbon 65.57%
    Draw 20.11%
MaritimoDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.99% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.3%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.11%
0-2 @ 11.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.02% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 4.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 65.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Maritimo
Friday, December 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Maritimo
Tuesday, December 13 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Maritimo
Wednesday, December 7 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Rio Ave
Thursday, December 1 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Maritimo
Sunday, November 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-0 Famalicao
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Thursday, December 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Maritimo
Tuesday, December 13 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, December 7 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-0 Farense
Wednesday, November 30 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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