SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
45.44% ( -0.02) | 24.92% ( -0.05) | 29.64% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( 0.24) | 47.32% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( 0.22) | 69.54% ( -0.22) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( 0.09) | 20.87% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( 0.14) | 53.57% ( -0.14) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( 0.17) | 29.59% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( 0.2) | 65.63% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 29.64% |
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