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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
N

Guimaraes
vs.
Nacional

 
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Guimaraes
Monday, December 16 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Guimaraes vs. Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw has a probability of 17.9% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 9.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.73%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (3.88%).

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
72.17% (-0.282 -0.28) 17.88% (-0.121 -0.12) 9.95% (0.4111 0.41)
Both teams to score 42.97% (1.917 1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (1.717 1.72)46.05% (-1.709 -1.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (1.605 1.61)68.35% (-1.596 -1.6)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64% (0.41 0.41)11.37% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.92% (0.874 0.87)36.09% (-0.865 -0.87)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.48% (1.949 1.95)51.52% (-1.942 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.32% (1.258 1.26)85.69% (-1.25 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 72.16%
    Nacional 9.95%
    Draw 17.88%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
2-0 @ 13.84% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-0 @ 12.73% (-0.73 -0.73)
3-0 @ 10.03% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.66% (0.222 0.22)
4-0 @ 5.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.62% (0.177 0.18)
5-0 @ 2.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.193 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 72.16%
1-1 @ 8.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.435 -0.44)
2-2 @ 3.05% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 17.88%
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 2.8% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.29% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 9.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Guimaraes
Monday, December 16 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: St Gallen 1-4 Guimaraes
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, December 2 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Astana 1-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, November 28 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Uniao de Leiria
Saturday, November 23 at 4.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, December 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional
Saturday, December 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boavista
Saturday, November 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Santa Clara
Monday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga


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