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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
VD

Moreirense
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Luis (76')
Alan (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Moreirense
Friday, October 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed a solid start to the season and will be looking to strengthen their position in the upper echelons of the table. However, Moreirense have also put together a fine run of form in the league of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
36.81% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 26.28% (0.012 0.01) 36.91% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)51.38% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)73.2% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)27.03% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)62.4% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)26.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69%62.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 36.81%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.91%
    Draw 26.27%
MoreirenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Moreirense
Friday, October 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Paredes 2-1 Moreirense
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Boavista
Friday, October 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-4 Moreirense
Sunday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense
Sunday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moncarapachense 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Portimonense
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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