SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
50.65% ( -0.21) | 24.22% ( 0.1) | 25.13% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.63% ( -0.35) | 47.37% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( -0.32) | 69.59% ( 0.32) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( -0.22) | 18.73% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.9% ( -0.36) | 50.1% ( 0.36) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( -0.09) | 33.06% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.35% ( -0.11) | 69.65% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 50.65% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.13% |
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