SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.57%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 4.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-2 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
86.57% ( -0.37) | 9.1% ( 0.26) | 4.33% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.81% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.42% ( -0.97) | 24.57% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.64% ( -1.29) | 44.35% ( 1.28) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.24% ( -0.21) | 3.75% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.92% ( -0.69) | 16.08% ( 0.69) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0.45) | 51.35% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.42% ( -0.3) | 85.57% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
| 3-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)7-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)7-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.11% Total : 86.56% | 1-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.65% Total : 9.1% | 1-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.64% Total : 4.33% |
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