SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | The New Saints |
19.29% ( 0) | 23.23% ( 0.03) | 57.49% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( -0.13) | 49.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.37% ( -0.11) | 71.62% ( 0.11) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% ( -0.07) | 39.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% ( -0.07) | 76.57% ( 0.07) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( -0.05) | 17.01% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( -0.1) | 47.13% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 19.29% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.65% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 57.48% |
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