SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 90.65%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 2.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.36%) and 2-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
90.65% ( -0.41) | 6.83% ( 0.2) | 2.51% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 38.52% ( 2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.67) | 23.85% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.59% ( 0.89) | 43.41% ( -0.9) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.95% ( 0.03) | 3.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.31% ( 0.11) | 13.69% ( -0.12) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.73% ( 2.12) | 60.26% ( -2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.22% ( 1.04) | 90.78% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 3-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.48) 4-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.44)5-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.18)6-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.16)6-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)7-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.15)7-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.11)8-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 90.65% | 1-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.32% Total : 6.83% | 0-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 2.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
