SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
44.82% ( 0.05) | 25.35% ( -0.03) | 29.83% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.41% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( 0.14) | 49.06% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.13) | 71.14% ( -0.12) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 0.08) | 21.87% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( 0.12) | 55.12% ( -0.12) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( 0.07) | 30.35% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( 0.08) | 66.54% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.82% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.83% |
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