Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
