SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
46.65% ( 0.03) | 25.11% ( -0.01) | 28.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( 0.02) | 48.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% ( 0.02) | 70.99% ( -0.02) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( 0.02) | 20.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( 0.03) | 53.75% ( -0.03) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0) | 31.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0) | 67.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.65% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.24% |
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