SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
53.53% ( 0.13) | 23.85% ( 0) | 22.62% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -0.15) | 48.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( -0.14) | 70.33% ( 0.14) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.01) | 17.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.27% ( -0.01) | 48.73% ( 0.02) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.21) | 35.71% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( -0.21) | 72.48% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.53% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.62% |
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