SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
68.08% ( 0.06) | 20.11% ( -0.02) | 11.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.41% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( -0.01) | 50.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( -0.01) | 72.38% ( 0.01) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( 0.01) | 13.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.81% ( 0.03) | 41.19% ( -0.03) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.22% ( -0.07) | 50.78% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.81% ( -0.05) | 85.19% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 68.08% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 11.81% |
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