SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
38.95% ( 0.91) | 25.29% ( -0.2) | 35.76% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.83) | 47.08% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( 0.77) | 69.32% ( -0.77) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( 0.86) | 23.88% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( 1.21) | 58.08% ( -1.21) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.5% ( -0.02) | 60.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 35.76% |
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