SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.5%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
70.12% ( 0.01) | 19.45% ( -0.01) | 10.43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( 0.02) | 51.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( 0.02) | 73.01% ( -0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.55% ( 0.01) | 13.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.58% ( 0.02) | 40.42% ( -0.02) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.21% | 53.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.86% ( -0) | 87.14% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-0 @ 14.55% 1-0 @ 14.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.74% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.03% 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 70.1% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.8% Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.45% | 0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.43% |
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