Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.5%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
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