SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
58.09% ( -2.31) | 22.73% ( 1.07) | 19.18% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -2.67) | 47.71% ( 2.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -2.52) | 69.91% ( 2.52) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -1.66) | 16.13% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.44% ( -3.12) | 45.56% ( 3.12) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.08% ( -0.16) | 38.92% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( -0.15) | 75.65% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 6% ( -0.4)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.37)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.36)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.17% Total : 58.07% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.67)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.18% |
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