SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
61.89% ( -0.46) | 21.92% ( 0.17) | 16.18% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( -0.22) | 49.03% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( -0.2) | 71.11% ( 0.2) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( -0.22) | 15.31% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.95% ( -0.42) | 44.05% ( 0.42) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.7% ( 0.25) | 43.3% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.46% ( 0.21) | 79.54% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 61.89% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.18% |
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