SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
68.26% ( -0.08) | 18.54% ( 0.04) | 13.2% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.62% ( -0.08) | 40.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.25% ( -0.09) | 62.75% ( 0.09) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( -0.04) | 10.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.12% ( -0.1) | 34.88% ( 0.1) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.01) | 42.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.44% ( 0.01) | 78.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 2-0 @ 11.27% 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 68.25% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.02% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.47% Total : 13.2% |
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