SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
48.48% ( 0.06) | 26.15% ( -0.02) | 25.38% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( 0.05) | 54.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( 0.04) | 76.17% ( -0.04) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0.05) | 22.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.7% ( 0.07) | 56.3% ( -0.07) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.01) | 36.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( -0.01) | 73.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 48.48% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.38% |
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