Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
