Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.38%) and 3-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
