SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
38.06% ( 0.02) | 27.19% ( -0) | 34.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( -0) | 55.21% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.56% ( -0) | 76.44% ( -0.01) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( 0.01) | 28.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( 0.02) | 63.8% ( -0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.02) | 30.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( -0.02) | 66.28% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.74% |
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