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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
38.63% ( -0.09) | 24.7% ( 0.1) | 36.67% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.72% ( -0.48) | 44.28% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( -0.47) | 66.65% ( 0.47) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.26) | 22.79% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( -0.39) | 56.49% ( 0.39) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( -0.23) | 23.82% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% ( -0.32) | 57.99% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.67% |
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