Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 59.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
