Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
