Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
