SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
39.05% ( 0.19) | 27.06% ( 0.03) | 33.88% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( -0.15) | 54.82% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% ( -0.12) | 76.12% ( 0.12) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( 0.04) | 27.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( 0.05) | 62.84% ( -0.05) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( -0.22) | 30.5% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( -0.26) | 66.72% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.04% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.88% |
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