Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
