Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.