Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
