Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.29%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood.
-0.72) 
0.28) 
