Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
