Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
