Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.22%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
